Overview

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Forecast as of 2020-04-30: 5000 bootstrapped autoregressive models with a 30-day rolling window.

Doubling Time: Estimate based on autoregressive regression coefficients

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Daily Cases

Model Evaluation

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How Forecast Evolved

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Historical Performance from ~7 days ago

Comparison of AR model (current model) vs. Simple Bootstrap Mean

International Benchmarks

Growth pattern of African nations compared to Nigeria from case 100.

Doubling Time

Google Mobility

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Nigeria

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Lagos

Federal Capital Territory

Kano

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